Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.616349 0.697799 0.784416 0.883215 0.992615 1.109867 1.244865
2025-10-12 0.508749 0.625622 0.758721 0.920787 1.112017 1.329670 1.595291
2025-10-19 0.413833 0.550276 0.715935 0.930096 1.197658 1.518789 1.931025
2025-10-26 0.339576 0.486376 0.675670 0.934304 1.274632 1.702922 2.277745
2025-11-02 0.281440 0.432688 0.639100 0.935961 1.345519 1.883359 2.634291
2025-11-09 0.235775 0.387823 0.606749 0.936980 1.412762 2.062099 3.001266
2025-11-16 0.200586 0.351852 0.580925 0.942100 1.483538 2.248681 3.390871
2025-11-23 0.169142 0.316023 0.549641 0.933945 1.532121 2.405463 3.747929
2025-11-30 0.148772 0.294587 0.537112 0.951598 1.618681 2.620995 4.201615
2025-12-07 0.126973 0.266805 0.510158 0.942259 1.661082 2.771971 4.567926
2025-12-14 0.111593 0.247899 0.495297 0.950252 1.730159 2.966350 5.009752
2025-12-21 0.095491 0.224702 0.469556 0.936124 1.760419 3.100314 5.364293
2025-12-28 0.087868 0.217420 0.472248 0.972823 1.880096 3.386476 5.978899
2026-01-04 0.080889 0.210288 0.474244 1.008211 1.999989 3.680219 6.622448
2026-01-11 0.071728 0.196690 0.461716 1.014815 2.068907 3.892703 7.144383
2026-01-18 0.063388 0.183378 0.447906 1.017158 2.129628 4.094104 7.657939
2026-01-25 0.055992 0.170870 0.434014 1.017554 2.186107 4.290628 8.172645
2026-02-01 0.049549 0.159447 0.420856 1.017772 2.241640 4.487848 8.697697
2026-02-08 0.044242 0.149915 0.410585 1.022715 2.306171 4.704095 9.265887
2026-02-15 0.038744 0.138653 0.394675 1.013610 2.341578 4.868329 9.748847
2026-02-22 0.035457 0.133076 0.391601 1.032334 2.434265 5.143187 10.442961
2026-03-01 0.031090 0.123228 0.376534 1.022171 2.466111 5.304449 10.936636
2026-03-08 0.028095 0.117018 0.369864 1.030657 2.537482 5.544550 11.586254